Copa Do Brasil badgeCopa Do Brasil · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Corinthians badgeCorinthiansvsBarra badgeBarra

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.8%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+14.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +14.5%
Our model65.8%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Corinthians badge

Corinthians

Attack29
Defence100
Form47
Barra badge

Barra

Attack59
Defence97
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.5%Correct
Our model65.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +19.5%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market33.3%
Edge
+19.5
Odds
3.00

Match Winner

Barra Win

Edge +36.8%Miss
Our model45.1%
The market8.3%
Edge
+36.8
Odds
12.00

Draw No Bet

Barra (DNB)

Miss
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model12.6%
The market10.9%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

0-2

9.9%

1-2

9.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.