Serie A badgeSerie A · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Corinthians badgeCorinthiansvsChapecoense-sc badgeChapecoense-sc

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
52.1%
Edge
+9.1 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +9.1%
Our model61.2%
The market52.1%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Corinthians badge

Corinthians

Attack41
Defence71
Form45
Chapecoense-sc badge

Chapecoense-sc

Attack35
Defence34
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model74.6%
The market90.9%
Edge
-16.3
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

Corinthians (DNB)

Miss
Our model63.2%
The market83.3%
Edge
-20.1
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Close
Our model61.2%
The market52.1%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model54.6%
The market61.7%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Corinthians Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market68.0%
Edge
-24.4
Odds
1.47

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.0%
The market14.9%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

14.9%

0-0

14.0%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.