Serie A · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Corinthiansvs
Cruzeiro
1 - 2Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 43.0%
- Edge
- +10.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.30
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30
The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Cruzeiro (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.7
- Odds
- 2.30
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Cruzeiro Win
- Edge
- +2.5
- Odds
- 3.20
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.33
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.4% · actual
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.