Corinthiansvs
Rosario Central
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 39.3%
- Edge
- +14.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.50
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.50
The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Corinthians
Rosario Central
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.4
- Odds
- 1.24
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +14.5
- Odds
- 2.50
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -16.1
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
Corinthians (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.8
- Odds
- 1.54
Match Winner
Corinthians Win
- Edge
- -18.6
- Odds
- 1.91
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.0% · actual
1-1
14.5%
0-0
9.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.