CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Corinthians badgeCorinthiansvsRosario Central badgeRosario Central

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
39.3%
Edge
+14.5 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.50

LowEdge +14.5%
Our model53.8%
The market39.3%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Corinthians badge

Corinthians

Attack49
Defence59
Form48
Rosario Central badge

Rosario Central

Attack52
Defence82
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model66.2%
The market80.6%
Edge
-14.4
Odds
1.24

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.5%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market39.3%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market69.8%
Edge
-16.1
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Corinthians (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market64.9%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.54

Match Winner

Corinthians Win

Correct
Our model33.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
-18.6
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.0% · actual

1-1

14.5%

0-0

9.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.