Serie A badgeSerie A · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Coritiba badgeCoritibavsAtletico-MG badgeAtletico-MG

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model61.3%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Coritiba badge

Coritiba

Attack50
Defence65
Form55
Atletico-MG badge

Atletico-MG

Attack63
Defence54
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.1%Close
Our model57.5%
The market44.4%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Coritiba (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Coritiba Win

Our model39.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.