Serie A badgeSerie A · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Coritiba badgeCoritibavsMirassol badgeMirassol

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+2.4 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

MediumEdge +2.4%
Our model61.2%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Coritiba badge

Coritiba

Attack46
Defence43
Form42
Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack33
Defence46
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +1.4%Miss
Our model76.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
1.34

Draw No Bet

Coritiba (DNB)

Edge +5.0%Miss
Our model64.5%
The market59.5%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.68

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Close
Our model61.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.5%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market53.1%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Coritiba Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market44.1%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
2.27

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

12.7%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.