Serie A · 22 July 2026AI PICK
Coritibavs
Palmeiras
1 - 3Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 43.7%
- Edge
- +12.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Coritiba
Palmeiras
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
Palmeiras (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.1
- Odds
- 2.20
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.8
- Odds
- 1.95
Match Winner
Palmeiras Win
- Edge
- -3.7
- Odds
- 2.15
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.09
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
8.0%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.