Coritibavs
Santos
0 - 2Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.9%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +3.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Coritiba
Santos
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
Coritiba (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Coritiba Win
- Edge
- +14.1
- Odds
- 2.70
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 8.37
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
13.7%
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.0%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.