Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Correcaminos Uat badgeCorrecaminos UatvsTapatío badgeTapatío

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
56.5%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
1.77

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Correcaminos Uat Win

Match Winner · best price 1.77

MediumEdge +3.8%
Our model60.3%
The market56.5%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Correcaminos Uat badge

Correcaminos Uat

Attack79
Defence35
Form53
Tapatío badge

Tapatío

Attack41
Defence43
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model75.3%
The market87.7%
Edge
-12.4
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Correcaminos Uat (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Miss
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Correcaminos Uat Win

Edge +3.8%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market56.5%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.77

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market55.4%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market57.9%
Edge
-4.7
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

7.9%

3-1

7.8%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.