Challenge Cup badgeChallenge Cup · 8 September 2026AI PICK

Cowdenbeath badgeCowdenbeathvsKilmarnock II badgeKilmarnock II

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.6%
Market said
42.9%
Edge
+12.7 pts
Best odds
2.33

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Cowdenbeath Win

Match Winner · best price 2.33

MediumEdge +12.7%
Our model55.6%
The market42.9%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cowdenbeath badge

Cowdenbeath

Attack42
Defence33
Form13
Kilmarnock II badge

Kilmarnock II

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +6.1%
Our model77.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Cowdenbeath (DNB)

Edge +19.0%Miss
Our model71.1%
The market52.1%
Edge
+19.0
Odds
1.92

Match Winner

Cowdenbeath Win

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model55.6%
The market42.9%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.0%Close
Our model54.6%
The market35.6%
Edge
+19.0
Odds
2.81

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market74.6%
Edge
-20.0
Odds
1.34

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

8.8%

1-1

14.1%

0-0

9.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.