Serie B · 21 June 2026AI PICK

CRBvsFortaleza EC

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 59.7%
Market said: 54.6%
Edge: +5.1 pts
Best odds: 1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +5.1%

Our model59.7%

The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CRB

Attack66

Defence38

Form40

Fortaleza EC

Attack52

Defence62

Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.1%Correct

Our model59.7%

The market54.6%

Edge: +5.1
Odds: 1.83

Draw No Bet

CRB (DNB)

Void

Our model56.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -1.1
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Close

Our model55.2%

The market45.5%

Edge: +9.7
Odds: 2.20

Match Winner

CRB Win

Edge +5.9%Miss

Our model49.4%

The market43.5%

Edge: +5.9
Odds: 2.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%

Our model11.0%

The market9.6%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 10.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.0%

1-1

9.5% · actual

2-1

9.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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