Serie B badgeSerie B · 27 July 2026AI PICK

CRB badgeCRBvsVila Nova badgeVila Nova

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
52.3%
Edge
+8.9 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +8.9%
Our model61.2%
The market52.3%

The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CRB badge

CRB

Attack76
Defence41
Form62
Vila Nova badge

Vila Nova

Attack57
Defence53
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
-9.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.9%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market52.3%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.5%Close
Our model58.8%
The market47.3%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

CRB (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CRB Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

11.4%

2-0

7.4% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.