Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Crema badgeCremavsCoriano badgeCoriano

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +2.1%
Our model67.5%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Crema badge

Crema

Attack29
Defence46
Form31
Coriano badge

Coriano

Attack43
Defence54
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model67.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.2%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Crema (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Crema Win

Our model33.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-16.1
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.7%Miss
Our model20.2%
The market17.5%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
5.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

20.2%

0-0

16.4%

1-0

14.7%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.