Serie A badgeSerie A · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Cremonese badgeCremonesevsLazio badgeLazio

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+13.2 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

High confidenceEdge +13.2%
Our model73.1%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 13.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cremonese badge

Cremonese

Attack17
Defence32
Form13
Lazio badge

Lazio

Attack57
Defence49
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.2%Close
Our model73.1%
The market59.9%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Lazio (DNB)

Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model37.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Lazio Win

Our model30.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-20.0
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.