Cremonesevs
Pisa
3 - 0Full time · 1 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.7%
- Market said
- 58.8%
- Edge
- +10.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.70
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.70
The market underrated this by 10.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cremonese
Pisa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 1 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +10.9
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Cremonese Win
- Edge
- +2.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Cremonese (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 4.03
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
28.5%
0-1
22.7%
1-0
16.6%
We called 1 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.