Coppa Italia badgeCoppa Italia · 17 August 2026AI PICK

Cremonese badgeCremonesevsSampdoria badgeSampdoria

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
45.1%
Edge
+8.6 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

LowEdge +8.6%
Our model53.7%
The market45.1%

The market underrated this by 8.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cremonese badge

Cremonese

Attack56
Defence100
Form56
Sampdoria badge

Sampdoria

Attack42
Defence100
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market82.0%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Cremonese (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.6%Close
Our model53.7%
The market45.1%
Edge
+8.6
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model53.2%
The market49.8%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Cremonese Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
-11.8
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

11.9%

2-0

7.3% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.