League Two badgeLeague Two · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Crewe badgeCrewevsNorthampton badgeNorthampton

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
49.9%
Edge
+3.9 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

LowEdge +3.9%
Our model53.8%
The market49.9%

The market underrated this by 3.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Crewe badge

Crewe

Attack65
Defence70
Form67
Northampton badge

Northampton

Attack36
Defence48
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.4%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Draw No Bet

Crewe (DNB)

Correct
Our model71.7%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market49.9%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market53.7%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Crewe Win

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model49.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model11.2%
The market12.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2% · actual

1-1

12.9%

2-0

10.8%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.