League Two badgeLeague Two · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Crewe badgeCrewevsYork badgeYork

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
49.8%
Edge
+11.4 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

MediumEdge +11.4%
Our model61.2%
The market49.8%

The market underrated this by 11.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Crewe badge

Crewe

Attack55
Defence66
Form58
York badge

York

Attack61
Defence29
Form37

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model74.6%
The market77.5%
Edge
-2.9
Odds
1.29

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.4%Close
Our model61.2%
The market49.8%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
1.94

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market55.9%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
1.72

Draw No Bet

York (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Void
Our model51.6%
The market50.8%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.97

Match Winner

York Win

Miss
Our model38.5%
The market39.5%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
2.53

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

11.8% · actual

2-1

8.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.