Serie B badgeSerie B · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Criciuma badgeCriciumavsCuiaba badgeCuiaba

2 - 0

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
41.0%
Edge
+13.6 pts
Best odds
2.33

The call, locked before kick-off

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.33

LowEdge +13.6%
Our model54.6%
The market41.0%

The market underrated this by 13.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Criciuma badge

Criciuma

Attack44
Defence85
Form67
Cuiaba badge

Cuiaba

Attack56
Defence61
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.2%
The market88.5%
Edge
-15.3
Odds
1.13

Draw No Bet

Criciuma (DNB)

Correct
Our model66.1%
The market74.1%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.6%
Our model54.6%
The market41.0%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
2.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market66.7%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.41

Match Winner

Criciuma Win

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market55.9%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.79

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model8.3%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

8.3%

2-1

7.1%

2-0

5.5% · actual

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.