Serie B badgeSerie B · 26 July 2026AI PICK

Criciuma badgeCriciumavsNautico Recife badgeNautico Recife

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +5.5%
Our model55.5%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Criciuma badge

Criciuma

Attack58
Defence85
Form71
Nautico Recife badge

Nautico Recife

Attack60
Defence40
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Miss
Our model55.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Criciuma (DNB)

Void
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.95

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market87.0%
Edge
-35.3
Odds
1.15

Match Winner

Criciuma Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market57.5%
Edge
-13.9
Odds
1.74

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.7%
The market10.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.7%

1-1

13.1%

1-2

8.1%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.