Serie B · 18 July 2026AI PICK
Criciumavs
Vila Nova
2 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 43.4%
- Edge
- +12.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.25
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25
The market underrated this by 12.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 1.30
Draw No Bet
Vila Nova (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.4
- Odds
- 2.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.3
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Vila Nova Win
- Edge
- +19.9
- Odds
- 5.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.