World Cup badgeWorld Cup · 27 June 2026AI PICK

Croatia badgeCroatiavsGhana badgeGhana

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+0.7 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Croatia Win

Match Winner · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +0.7%
Our model57.8%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 0.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Croatia badge

Croatia

Attack48
Defence40
Form50
Ghana badge

Ghana

Attack24
Defence44
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model84.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
1.14

Match Winner

Croatia Win

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Croatia (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model54.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model51.6%
The market58.8%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.4%

2-0

12.5%

1-1

9.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.