Coppa Italia Serie C badgeCoppa Italia Serie C · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Crotone badgeCrotonevsCosenza badgeCosenza

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+4.9 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

LowEdge +4.9%
Our model53.7%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 4.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Crotone badge

Crotone

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Cosenza badge

Cosenza

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market75.2%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Crotone (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.9%Close
Our model53.7%
The market48.8%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.8%
The market54.6%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Crotone Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market45.5%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.