Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Cruz Azul Hidalgo badgeCruz Azul HidalgovsMonarcas badgeMonarcas

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+10.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Monarcas Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +10.3%
Our model60.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Cruz Azul Hidalgo badge

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Attack11
Defence57
Form22
Monarcas badge

Monarcas

Attack72
Defence48
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +17.1%Correct
Our model88.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
+17.1
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Monarcas (DNB)

Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model63.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Monarcas Win

Edge +10.3%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Close
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Close
Our model18.1%
The market20.8%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

18.1%

0-1

15.6%

0-3

13.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.