Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 1 August 2026AI PICK

Cruz Azul Hidalgo badgeCruz Azul HidalgovsVenados FC badgeVenados FC

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+1.2 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

LowEdge +1.2%
Our model53.8%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cruz Azul Hidalgo badge

Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Venados FC badge

Venados FC

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.4%
Our model74.8%
The market71.4%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.2%Close
Our model53.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Cruz Azul Hidalgo (DNB)

Void
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Cruz Azul Hidalgo Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7% · actual

1-0

8.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.