Cruz Azulvs
Atlas
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 64.4%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +14.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectCruz Azul Win
Match Winner · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 14.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Cruz Azul
Atlas
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.18
Match Winner
Cruz Azul Win
- Edge
- +14.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.53
Draw No Bet
Cruz Azul (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.71
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5% · actual
2-0
8.9%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.