Serie A badgeSerie A · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Cruzeiro badgeCruzeirovsAtletico-MG badgeAtletico-MG

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+12.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Cruzeiro Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +12.1%
Our model62.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 12.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cruzeiro badge

Cruzeiro

Attack49
Defence61
Form56
Atletico-MG badge

Atletico-MG

Attack39
Defence50
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Match Winner

Cruzeiro Win

Edge +12.1%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.1
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model57.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Cruzeiro (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model49.9%
The market51.3%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.95

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.