Copa Do Brasil · 26 August 2026AI PICK

CruzeirovsAtletico-MG

1 - 1

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 53.7%
Market said: 44.6%
Edge: +9.1 pts
Best odds: 2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

LowEdge +9.1%

Our model53.7%

The market44.6%

The market underrated this by 9.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cruzeiro

Attack52

Defence87

Form64

Atletico-MG

Attack45

Defence100

Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model69.5%

The market82.6%

Edge: -13.1
Odds: 1.21

Draw No Bet

Cruzeiro (DNB)

Void

Our model58.0%

The market68.5%

Edge: -10.5
Odds: 1.46

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.1%Close

Our model53.7%

The market44.6%

Edge: +9.1
Odds: 2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.2%Correct

Our model52.7%

The market50.5%

Edge: +2.2
Odds: 1.92

Match Winner

Cruzeiro Win

Miss

Our model42.1%

The market50.8%

Edge: -8.7
Odds: 1.97

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.1%

The market10.5%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

12.1% · actual

1-2

7.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record