CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 13 August 2026AI PICK

Cruzeiro badgeCruzeirovsFlamengo badgeFlamengo

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
47.3%
Edge
+10.5 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +10.5%
Our model57.8%
The market47.3%

The market underrated this by 10.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cruzeiro badge

Cruzeiro

Attack65
Defence80
Form69
Flamengo badge

Flamengo

Attack77
Defence63
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market73.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.5%Close
Our model57.8%
The market47.3%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Flamengo (DNB)

Void
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market54.9%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Flamengo Win

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market40.0%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

10.5% · actual

2-1

7.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.