Serie A · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Cruzeirovs
Flamengo
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 48.1%
- Edge
- +10.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 10.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Flamengo (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.72
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Flamengo Win
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 2.30
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.2%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.