Serie A badgeSerie A · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Cruzeiro badgeCruzeirovsMirassol badgeMirassol

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

LowEdge +5.0%
Our model54.5%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cruzeiro badge

Cruzeiro

Attack51
Defence97
Form64
Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack49
Defence70
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.7%
The market87.7%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

Cruzeiro (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market49.5%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model53.6%
The market51.1%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Cruzeiro Win

Correct
Our model43.1%
The market60.6%
Edge
-17.5
Odds
1.65

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.9%

1-1

13.4%

1-2

7.7%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.