Premier League · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Crystal PalacevsArsenal

1 - 2

Full time · 2 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 60.7%
Market said: 47.6%
Edge: +13.1 pts
Best odds: 2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +13.1%

Our model60.7%

The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Crystal Palace

Attack49

Defence51

Form48

Arsenal

Attack41

Defence100

Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market82.0%

Edge: +3.0
Odds: 1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.1%Close

Our model60.7%

The market47.6%

Edge: +13.1
Odds: 2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.3%Correct

Our model56.7%

The market52.4%

Edge: +4.3
Odds: 1.91

Draw No Bet

Crystal Palace (DNB)

Miss

Our model55.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -2.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Crystal Palace Win

Edge +33.2%Miss

Our model45.7%

The market12.5%

Edge: +33.2
Odds: 8.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.7%Miss

Our model13.0%

The market11.3%

Edge: +1.7
Odds: 8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

0-1

10.0%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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