Primera División badgePrimera División · 22 April 2026AI PICK

CS Cartagines badgeCS CartaginesvsSan Carlos badgeSan Carlos

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+1.5 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +1.5%
Our model56.1%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 1.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CS Cartagines badge

CS Cartagines

Attack45
Defence38
Form38
San Carlos badge

San Carlos

Attack53
Defence43
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.6%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
1.21

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model56.1%
The market54.6%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model54.4%
The market55.9%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.79

Match Winner

CS Cartagines Win

Edge +1.4%Correct
Our model51.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

CS Cartagines (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.