Primera División · 17 May 2026AI PICK

CS HeredianovsDeportivo Saprissa

2 - 0

Full time · 0 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 67.0%
Market said: 48.8%
Edge: +18.2 pts
Best odds: 2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +18.2%

Our model67.0%

The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 18.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CS Herediano

Attack45

Defence90

Form64

Deportivo Saprissa

Attack97

Defence65

Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%

Our model85.0%

The market75.2%

Edge: +9.8
Odds: 1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.2%Close

Our model67.0%

The market48.8%

Edge: +18.2
Odds: 2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.2%Miss

Our model62.8%

The market55.6%

Edge: +7.2
Odds: 1.80

Draw No Bet

Deportivo Saprissa (DNB)

Our model47.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -10.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Deportivo Saprissa Win

Edge +3.8%

Our model36.1%

The market32.3%

Edge: +3.8
Odds: 3.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.3%Miss

Our model9.6%

The market8.3%

Edge: +1.3
Odds: 12.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6%

0-1

8.2%

0-2

8.0%

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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