Liga de Ascenso badgeLiga de Ascenso · 2 August 2026AI PICK

CS Uruguay badgeCS UruguayvsAD Carmelita badgeAD Carmelita

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

LowEdge +2.5%
Our model53.8%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CS Uruguay badge

CS Uruguay

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
AD Carmelita badge

AD Carmelita

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.8%
The market84.7%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

CS Uruguay (DNB)

Void
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

CS Uruguay Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.8
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.