Serie D badgeSerie D · 27 June 2026AI PICK

CSA badgeCSAvsLagarto badgeLagarto

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.6%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +3.5%
Our model60.6%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

CSA badge

CSA

Attack100
Defence68
Form74
Lagarto badge

Lagarto

Attack58
Defence41
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model84.0%
The market95.2%
Edge
-11.2
Odds
1.05

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.5%Close
Our model60.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model57.1%
The market44.4%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

CSA (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CSA Win

Correct
Our model48.7%
The market75.2%
Edge
-26.5
Odds
1.33

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.0%
The market6.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.40

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.0%

3-1

7.7%

2-0

5.7% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.