Serie D badgeSerie D · 26 July 2026AI PICK

CSA badgeCSAvsSão Luiz badgeSão Luiz

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.8%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +10.7%
Our model58.8%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

CSA badge

CSA

Attack91
Defence87
Form64
São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack43
Defence64
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market90.9%
Edge
-15.6
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

CSA (DNB)

Edge +11.3%Correct
Our model68.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market48.1%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

CSA Win

Correct
Our model58.6%
The market65.4%
Edge
-6.8
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

9.8%

2-1

9.8% · actual

1-1

9.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.