First League badgeFirst League · 14 August 2026AI PICK

CSKA 1948 badgeCSKA 1948vsCherno More Varna badgeCherno More Varna

4 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
45.6%
Edge
+12.2 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +12.2%
Our model57.8%
The market45.6%

The market underrated this by 12.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CSKA 1948 badge

CSKA 1948

Attack76
Defence72
Form72
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Cherno More Varna

Attack52
Defence77
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market85.5%
Edge
-13.4
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

CSKA 1948 (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.2%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market45.6%
Edge
+12.2
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market48.5%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

CSKA 1948 Win

Correct
Our model51.7%
The market59.9%
Edge
-8.2
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.3%
The market10.7%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.3%

1-1

9.6%

3-1

6.8%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.