First League badgeFirst League · 30 August 2026AI PICK

CSKA Sofia badgeCSKA SofiavsCherno More Varna badgeCherno More Varna

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
86.7%
Market said
66.2%
Edge
+20.5 pts
Best odds
1.51

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

CSKA Sofia Win

Match Winner · best price 1.51

High confidenceEdge +20.5%
Our model86.7%
The market66.2%

The market underrated this by 20.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

CSKA Sofia badge

CSKA Sofia

Attack79
Defence63
Form74
Cherno More Varna badge

Cherno More Varna

Attack42
Defence60
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

CSKA Sofia (DNB)

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model93.7%
The market81.3%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.23

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model90.0%
The market92.6%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.08

Match Winner

CSKA Sofia Win

Edge +20.5%Correct
Our model86.7%
The market66.2%
Edge
+20.5
Odds
1.51

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.4%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market49.9%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
1.94

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model52.5%
The market48.1%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
2.02

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.7%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.7%

1-1

9.1%

2-0

8.8%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.