First League · 13 May 2026AI PICK

CSKA SofiavsCSKA 1948

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 63.1%
Market said: 58.1%
Edge: +5.0 pts
Best odds: 1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +5.0%

Our model63.1%

The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CSKA Sofia

Attack52

Defence87

Form71

CSKA 1948

Attack60

Defence54

Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.0%Correct

Our model63.1%

The market58.1%

Edge: +5.0
Odds: 1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.5%Correct

Our model58.3%

The market53.8%

Edge: +4.5
Odds: 1.86

Draw No Bet

CSKA Sofia (DNB)

Void

Our model49.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -8.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

CSKA Sofia Win

Miss

Our model42.8%

The market47.6%

Edge: -4.8
Odds: 2.10

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%

Our model11.2%

The market9.8%

Edge: +1.4
Odds: 10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.2%

1-0

10.6%

1-1

10.4% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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