UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 9 July 2026AI PICK

CSKA Sofia badgeCSKA SofiavsDerry City badgeDerry City

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.0%
Market said
52.0%
Edge
+6.0 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +6.0%
Our model58.0%
The market52.0%

The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CSKA Sofia badge

CSKA Sofia

Attack58
Defence50
Form54
Derry City badge

Derry City

Attack44
Defence63
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

CSKA Sofia (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market97.1%
Edge
-22.9
Odds
1.03

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.0%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market52.0%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.92

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.1%
The market62.0%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.58

Match Winner

CSKA Sofia Win

Correct
Our model44.4%
The market75.2%
Edge
-30.8
Odds
1.33

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

11.4%

2-0

7.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.