CSKA Sofiavs
Derry City
3 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.0%
- Market said
- 52.0%
- Edge
- +6.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.92
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.92
The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Draw No Bet
CSKA Sofia (DNB)
- Edge
- +27.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -22.9
- Odds
- 1.03
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +6.0
- Odds
- 1.92
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -7.9
- Odds
- 1.58
Match Winner
CSKA Sofia Win
- Edge
- -30.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.06
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
7.4%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.