First League badgeFirst League · 2 August 2026AI PICK

CSKA Sofia badgeCSKA SofiavsDunav Ruse badgeDunav Ruse

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.4%
Market said
56.2%
Edge
+1.2 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +1.2%
Our model57.4%
The market56.2%

The market underrated this by 1.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

CSKA Sofia badge

CSKA Sofia

Attack83
Defence48
Form75
Dunav Ruse badge

Dunav Ruse

Attack54
Defence38
Form23

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market96.2%
Edge
-21.4
Odds
1.04

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.2%Correct
Our model57.4%
The market56.2%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +19.0%Correct
Our model57.2%
The market38.2%
Edge
+19.0
Odds
2.50

Draw No Bet

CSKA Sofia (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

CSKA Sofia Win

Correct
Our model52.9%
The market83.3%
Edge
-30.4
Odds
1.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6% · actual

1-1

9.8%

2-0

7.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.