UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 13 August 2026AI PICK

CSKA Sofia badgeCSKA SofiavsMaccabi Tel Aviv badgeMaccabi Tel Aviv

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
47.2%
Edge
+11.2 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08

MediumEdge +11.2%
Our model58.4%
The market47.2%

The market underrated this by 11.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CSKA Sofia badge

CSKA Sofia

Attack67
Defence69
Form81
Maccabi Tel Aviv badge

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Attack56
Defence90
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market78.1%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

CSKA Sofia (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.2%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market47.2%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market53.2%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

CSKA Sofia Win

Edge +8.4%Miss
Our model53.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

7.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.