UEFA Europa League badgeUEFA Europa League · 30 July 2026AI PICK

CSKA Sofia badgeCSKA SofiavsQarabag badgeQarabag

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+9.7 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +9.7%
Our model55.2%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 9.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

CSKA Sofia badge

CSKA Sofia

Attack61
Defence60
Form67
Qarabag badge

Qarabag

Attack85
Defence75
Form70

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model74.8%
The market73.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Qarabag (DNB)

Void
Our model56.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.7%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.7
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market52.9%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Qarabag Win

Edge +6.6%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market37.0%
Edge
+6.6
Odds
2.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.