Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 16 May 2026AI PICK

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2 - 1

Full time · 1 of 1 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
50.0%
Market said
43.5%
Edge
+6.5 pts
Best odds
2.30

The call, locked before kick-off

Eibar Win

Match Winner · best price 2.30

LowEdge +6.5%
Our model50.0%
The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 6.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cultural Leonesa badge

Cultural Leonesa

Attack28
Defence38
Form18
Eibar badge

Eibar

Attack58
Defence99
Form73

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 1 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Eibar Win

Edge +6.5%
Our model50.0%
The market43.5%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
2.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model47.3%
The market55.6%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Eibar (DNB)

Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.8%
The market14.6%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.8%

0-2

11.3%

1-1

10.2%

We called 1 of 1 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.