Primera División badgePrimera División · 18 July 2026AI PICK

Cusco badgeCuscovsAlianza Atletico badgeAlianza Atletico

4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +4.5%
Our model55.8%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Cusco badge

Cusco

Attack41
Defence35
Form36
Alianza Atletico badge

Alianza Atletico

Attack48
Defence55
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Alianza Atletico (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model55.8%
The market51.3%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.7%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market53.6%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.80

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market84.7%
Edge
-33.0
Odds
1.18

Match Winner

Alianza Atletico Win

Edge +17.7%Miss
Our model39.9%
The market22.2%
Edge
+17.7
Odds
4.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.0%

1-1

14.5%

0-0

9.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.