Cuscovs
Alianza Atletico
4 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +4.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Draw No Bet
Alianza Atletico (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.5
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.7
- Odds
- 1.80
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -33.0
- Odds
- 1.18
Match Winner
Alianza Atletico Win
- Edge
- +17.7
- Odds
- 4.50
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.65
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
9.0%
1-1
14.5%
0-0
9.9%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.