Primera División badgePrimera División · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Cusco badgeCuscovsAtletico Grau badgeAtletico Grau

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.5%
Our model59.6%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cusco badge

Cusco

Attack40
Defence40
Form40
Atletico Grau badge

Atletico Grau

Attack27
Defence59
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model59.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Cusco (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Cusco Win

Correct
Our model55.1%
The market58.8%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
0.0
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.6%Correct
Our model19.8%
The market17.2%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

19.8% · actual

0-0

13.1%

0-1

12.4%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.