CONMEBOL Libertadores badgeCONMEBOL Libertadores · 21 May 2026AI PICK

Cusco badgeCuscovsIndependiente Medellin badgeIndependiente Medellin

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.3%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+7.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +7.0%
Our model58.3%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Cusco badge

Cusco

Attack58
Defence33
Form47
Independiente Medellin badge

Independiente Medellin

Attack59
Defence51
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.0%Correct
Our model58.3%
The market51.3%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Cusco (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model50.5%
The market44.4%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Cusco Win

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model43.8%
The market40.8%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.45

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

0-1

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.