Primera División badgePrimera División · 23 August 2026AI PICK

D. La Serena badgeD. La SerenavsCobresal badgeCobresal

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
45.9%
Edge
+7.9 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

LowEdge +7.9%
Our model53.8%
The market45.9%

The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

D. La Serena badge

D. La Serena

Attack51
Defence37
Form36
Cobresal badge

Cobresal

Attack28
Defence43
Form20

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model81.1%
The market87.0%
Edge
-5.9
Odds
1.15

Draw No Bet

D. La Serena (DNB)

Void
Our model72.6%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.9%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market45.9%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.5%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market46.2%
Edge
+7.5
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

D. La Serena Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.8%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.0%
The market15.0%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
6.68

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

13.1%

2-0

11.6%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.