D. La Serenavs
Nublense
2 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.2%
- Market said
- 55.1%
- Edge
- +0.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 0.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
D. La Serena
Nublense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.5
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
D. La Serena (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
D. La Serena Win
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 2.35
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.70
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1% · actual
1-0
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.