Primera División badgePrimera División · 6 September 2026AI PICK

D. La Serena badgeD. La SerenavsNublense badgeNublense

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.2%
Market said
55.1%
Edge
+0.1 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +0.1%
Our model55.2%
The market55.1%

The market underrated this by 0.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

D. La Serena badge

D. La Serena

Attack49
Defence42
Form38
Nublense badge

Nublense

Attack56
Defence72
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.9%
The market80.0%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model55.2%
The market55.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market48.1%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

D. La Serena (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.4%
The market53.5%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

D. La Serena Win

Correct
Our model39.8%
The market42.6%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
2.35

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.1% · actual

1-0

5.4%

2-0

5.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.